The MLB season is coming right down to the wire, and baseball followers can look ahead to having fun with (or sweating out) an thrilling final week.
Who’s in? Who nonetheless has a shot? And what are the races to observe over the subsequent few days? Right here’s a deep dive into the MLB playoff race with one week to go.
Who’s in?
Clinched: Milwaukee Brewers, Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs, Los Angeles Dodgers
The Phillies have already clinched the NL East title, and whereas the NL Central is technically nonetheless up for grabs, the Brewers and Cubs have each already assured themselves a spot within the Nationwide League discipline.
The Dodgers grew to become the fourth staff to punch their ticket on Friday night time, assuring themselves an opportunity to develop into baseball’s first repeat champions because the New York Yankees gained three straight between 1998-2000.
On the verge
Practically clinched: Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees, San Diego Padres
The Blue Jays ought to develop into the primary American League membership to clinch a playoff spot within the subsequent couple of days, and barring a significant slide the Yankees shouldn’t want for much longer to do the identical. The Yankees stay in play for the AL East title as properly.
On the NL facet, the Padres are properly away from the playoff cutline and will have their spots wrapped up inside days.
Central drama
The Guardians’ unbelievable September run hasn’t simply put strain on the Pink Sox within the AL Wild Card race. It has additionally put Cleveland in place to steal the AL Central crown away from the Tigers.
As lately as Sept. 10 the Tigers held a seemingly insurmountable 9.5-game lead. However since then the Guardians have caught fireplace and final week went into Comerica Park and swept the Tigers on their very own dwelling discipline. The 2 golf equipment nonetheless play one another three extra occasions over the ultimate week, so if Cleveland can maintain profitable they might have an opportunity to not solely make the playoffs however host their first-round collection.
Even when that have been to occur the Tigers would nonetheless be in nice place to take a Wild Card spot, but when Detroit can’t get going some uncomfortable potentialities might come into play.
A dogfight out west
The Astros and Mariners are most likely each going to make the playoffs, however there’s nonetheless sufficient uncertainty that if both membership have been to fall off during the last week they may danger touchdown on the skin trying in. This can be an in depth race to the top.
The Rangers are technically nonetheless alive however their postseason hopes are on life assist after the membership was swept by the Astros this previous week. They’ll want a miracle at this level.
Can Pink Sox dangle on?
There are nonetheless a whole lot of potential outcomes within the AL Wild Card race, however in all probability the Yankees will take one of many spots and whichever of the Astros or Mariners doesn’t win the AL West will take one other. That would go away one spot up for grabs, and proper now the query is whether or not or not the Pink Sox can maintain the Guardians at bay?
Not way back it appeared just like the Pink Sox making the playoffs was a foregone conclusion, however then Roman Anthony received damage, the pitching and protection started to slide and the offense was all of the sudden exhausting to come back by. As poorly because the Pink Sox have performed, they nonetheless would most likely have been superb if the Guardians hadn’t gotten red-hot. Their unbelievable run over the previous two weeks has upset the apple cart and put the Pink Sox on their heels.
Who desires final NL Wild Card?
The place lots of the American League contenders have been taking part in their finest baseball of the season, the identical can’t be mentioned for these within the combine for the final NL Wild Card spot.
The Mets have been in freefall since mid-June and got here into the weekend solely a few video games forward of the Diamondbacks, Reds and Giants. Frankly, New York is fortunate it hasn’t already been surpassed. The membership lately endured an ill-timed 3-7 stretch, however over that very same interval the Diamondbacks and Reds each went 5-5 and the Giants 4-6.
If any of these groups could make one final push then a spot within the postseason must be inside attain, but when not the Mets would possibly nonetheless be capable of again into the sector and hope its premium expertise can carry the day in a brief playoff collection.
Tiebreakers favor Pink Sox
When the Pink Sox and Yankees completed tied within the AL East standings in 1978, the 2 golf equipment famously performed what amounted to a one-game play-in to find out who’d advance to the playoffs.
That wouldn’t occur now.
Underneath MLB’s present postseason format all ties within the standings are resolved by a set of predetermined tiebreakers, and a number of other might show consequential within the days to come back.
How do the Pink Sox stack up?
By advantage of profitable their respective season collection, the Pink Sox personal the tiebreakers over the Yankees (9-4), Astros (4-2) and Guardians (4-2). All of these could possibly be essential, because the Pink Sox would solely want to complete tied within the standings to doubtlessly bounce the Yankees and host a Wild Card collection, bounce the Astros to keep away from the third Wild Card and probably a protracted journey west to Seattle, and most significantly, maintain off the Guardians and clinch the final spot within the discipline.
Against this, the Pink Sox misplaced the tiebreaker to the Blue Jays (3-7), who they must end at the very least a recreation forward of to leap within the standings. The Rangers (3-4) additionally personal the tiebreaker over the Pink Sox, which might come into play if Texas is ready to shake off its latest shedding streak and make one final push.
Boston’s tiebreakers towards the Tigers and Mariners stay unsettled. The Pink Sox path the Tigers 0-3 however will play Detroit 3 times over the ultimate weekend. The Pink Sox and Mariners went 3-3 towards each other, in order that tiebreaker will come down to every membership’s intradivision file.
Different AL tiebreakers to know
The Blue Jays maintain tiebreakers over the Tigers, Yankees, Pink Sox and Mariners, which ought to put Toronto in robust place to take the AL’s No. 1 general seed.
The Guardians personal the tiebreaker over the Astros and lead the Tigers 6-4 of their season collection to this point with three video games to play, so so long as they keep away from a sweep they’ll personal the tiebreaker over their division rivals too.
In fact, if the Tigers sweep the Guardians it’s extremely unlikely Cleveland will nonetheless be in place to make the playoffs anyway. The Guardians would additionally lose the tiebreaker with the Mariners.
Within the AL West, the tiebreaker between the Astros and Mariners can be decided by who wins this weekend’s key three-game collection. Each groups personal their respective tiebreakers over the Rangers, who may have a more durable hill to climb within the AL West than they’ll within the AL Wild Card consequently.
The street forward
Pink Sox: at TB, at TOR x3, DET x3
The Pink Sox have a brutal schedule during the last week, ending the season with collection towards every of the American League’s prime two groups.
Yankees: at BAL, CWS x3, BAL x3
The Yankees’ final week must be a cakewalk. Barring a spectacular collapse there’s no cause why New York ought to have any issue locking up the highest AL Wild Card spot.
Guardians: at MIN, DET x3, TEX x3
Each recreation the Guardians play from right here on out may have main ramifications. If Cleveland can sweep the Tigers the AL Central title might nonetheless be theirs, but when not their final weekend towards the Rangers can be huge.
Tigers: ATL, at CLE x3, at BOS x3
The Tigers mission over this final week? Put the Guardians down, clinch the AL Central and be sure that final weekend in Boston is completely meaningless. Meaningless for Detroit, anyway.
Astros: SEA, at ATH x3, at LAA x3
The Astros end the season with six video games on the street, however the Athletics and Angels aren’t precisely the stiffest competitors.
Mariners: at HOU, COL x3, LAD x3
The Mariners have to like seeing the hapless Colorado Rockies on the schedule this week. Seattle will need to be certain that it takes benefits and locks up a playoff spot earlier than the Dodgers are available in for the ultimate weekend.
Rangers: MIA, MIN x3, at CLE x3
Getting swept by the Astros was a doubtlessly deadly setback, however the schedule will play to Texas’ profit. If the Rangers can win their collection towards the Twins and shut the Wild Card hole, they’ll get an opportunity to go head-to-head towards one of many groups they’ve to leap on the final weekend.
Mets: WAS, at CHC x3, at MIA x3
The Mets may have their palms full with the Cubs this week at Wrigley Discipline, however they at the very least end with a winnable collection towards the Marlins as they attempt to stave off a collapse.
Reds: CHC, PIT x3, at MIL x3
The Brewers will seemingly have the Nationwide League’s prime seed all locked up by the point the Reds see them subsequent weekend. Milwaukee resting its starters can be useful, however Cincinnati must maintain enterprise towards the Pirates first for that to matter.
Diamondbacks: PHI, LAD x3, at SD x3
The Diamondbacks is perhaps the one staff in rivalry with a more durable final week than the Pink Sox. If Arizona can chase down the final NL Wild Card spot they’ll have definitely earned it.
Giants: at LAD, STL x3, COL x3
Against this, the Giants have about as straightforward a end as they may have requested for, together with three straight at dwelling towards a Rockies staff that by now have to be determined for the offseason. They nonetheless have a shot, however they’ll want a whole lot of assist round them too.
